No. 10 Arkansas Razorbacks (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. No. 23 Texas A&M Aggies (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)
NCAA Soccer Week 4
Date/Time: Saturday September twenty fourth, 2022. 7:00PM (EST)
The place: AT&T Stadium Arlington, TX
Level Unfold: ARK +2.5/A&M -2.5 (Everygame – Get a 100% actual money bonus as much as $500 once you enter bonus code PREDICTEM on their Particular Affords web page after making your deposit!)
After struggling one of many largest upset losses of the season by the hands of Appalachian State, the Texas A&M Aggies bounced again with a 17-9 victory over no. 13 Miami final week. The Aggies have now shed the majority of the non-conference play and can meet the no. 10 Arkansas Razorbacks at AT&T Stadium for his or her first SEC check of the season. Backed by a stingy protection, the Aggies are listed as mere 2.5-point favorites in what guarantees to be an intriguing version of the Southwest Basic.
The Razorbacks are off to a 3-0 SU begin on the season with wins over no. 23 Cincinnati, South Carolina, and a surprisingly shut 38-27 victory over Missouri State final week. At 2-1 ATS, the Razorbacks look like a type of groups that may very well be a nuisance to the highest groups within the SEC West this 12 months, and that’s precisely what the Razorbacks will try to do that Saturday after they go on the highway for the primary time this season towards one of many favorites within the SEC West. Regardless of giving the ball away 3 times final week and failing to cowl the unfold towards an inferior opponent like Missouri State, the Razorbacks seem prime to provide the Aggies all they’ll deal with.
Similar to I said final week, the Aggies have some critical points on the offensive facet of the football, which has produced simply 17 factors in every of the final two video games. In final week’s win over Missouri State, the Aggies made a change on the quarterback place, with Max Johnson receiving his first begin of the 12 months. Nevertheless, the change didn’t create a lot distinction from an offense that continued to look stale. Johnson went 10 of 20 for 140 yards with a landing, and evidently, it was not the kind of efficiency that simmered the offense’s issues. The struggles from the A&M offense is but once more why I consider the “complete” could also be the perfect play on this sport but once more.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies Betting Evaluation
Once I supplied my evaluation in final week’s showdown between Miami and Texas A&M, I suggested bettors that the “underneath” could also be the perfect play of the week regardless of a comparatively low 44-point complete. For this week’s showdown on impartial turf at AT&T Stadium, I consider the identical narrative could also be true once more. As dangerous because the Aggies’ offense has struggled, the Texas A&M protection has been simply pretty much as good, holding opponents to 26 factors mixed by way of the opening three video games.
Once I have a look at this match-up from a handicapping perspective, I don’t consider Arkansas has the kind of offense that can exploit the Aggies protection even when they get short-field conditions persistently, even when the Aggies offense continues to battle. The Razorbacks stay a run-first offense with tailback Raheim Sanders, and they are going to be going towards a superior defensive entrance on Saturday. In the meantime, the passing sport led by QB KJ Jefferson has been efficient from a statistical standpoint. Jefferson has thrown six touchdowns with only one decide for 770 yards by way of the opening three video games. Nevertheless, the Razorbacks routinely unfold the ball by way of intermediate passing makes an attempt and infrequently threaten the sector vertically. I consider that sort of play-calling will doubtless play into the arms of the Aggies’ protection, which continues to play extraordinarily properly.
If we can not belief the Aggies offense to attain many factors, I actually query how the full for this sport is listed at a excessive 48 factors. Granted, the Razorbacks have been shaky at occasions on the defensive facet of the football and have been stricken by turnovers all year long. Anytime bettors are contemplating a play on the “underneath,” these are necessary pink flags. With that mentioned, I nonetheless query whether or not the Aggies will have the ability to cash-in on touchdowns in the event that they win the turnover battle and/or get short-field conditions. To this point this season, I’ve not seen something to confidently declare the Aggies’ offense can capitalize in these conditions.